The implications to the local area of the impact new residents will make to our roads is likely the thing that causes most concern. The roads in Grayshott have had considerable 'calming' facilities put in since the tunnel which has slowed traffic down and caused frustration amongst road users. These calming features have tainted the concept of more cars coming through the village and made the idea seem even less bearable.
However bad we percieve the roads in Grayshott, if we cast our minds back to before the tunnel, there was traffic queuing all the way down through Grayshott at peak times. It would often take 45 minutes to get to the other side of the A3 traffic lights towards Haslemere. Nowadays, the situation is considerably better. Except for the occassional delivery lorry causing a delay and the frustration with the various pinchpoints it takes a relatively short time to get through the village.
When you look at the other villages and towns close to Grayshott the traffic is far worse than we have ever had. Traffic queuing is never good but the reality of the situation is perhaps not as bad as is being suggested. That is a contentious comment I know but having driven threw Grayshott at peak times every day for the last 3 years it is not an unqualified one. The problem stems not from to much traffic but the pinch points, speed bumps and the delivery lorries blocking the road.
For the last 4 months a record of how long it takes to get from the top of Headley Road to Applegarth Farm has been kept. The record was generally from peak times 8am - 9am (usually about 8.30) and between 5.30 and 6.30. The distance is 1.7 miles and and takes on average 3.6 minutes in the morning and 4.2 minutes in the afternoon. Very regularly it takes under 3 minutes as the average is skewed by encountering a delivery vehicle to Sainsbury. However, it is understood that this record is going against the peak traffic- East to West bound in the morning and vice versa at night.
This is obviously not the full picture and there are often times where it is much worse but this is an absolute record that has been taken. We understand that the traffic calming facilities have caused considerable upset and can be incredibly frustrating.
Projected traffic from the Vale
When considering the idea of a new residential development one of the main concerns is 'not more traffic for our roads'. It is easy to sit and work out how many new cars there will be and envisage how all of these new cars will impact the roadways.
What needs to bought into the equation though is the different times of the day that the new residents will use their cars. The new residential development will include new residents of all age spectrums and will therefore have different requirements during the day.
6.30am-7am- Husband working a distance away
8am- Mother with primary school children
8.30am- Husband working locally
9am- Mother with nursery age child
9am-10am- Retirees going shopping.
This is not an absolute situation but an example of how
journeys are spread throughout the day time.
We have used the 2011 census of Grayshott to work out what types of people will be living in these new houses and compared that with what is called the 'Trics Database' which is the nationally recognised database that all local authorities measure new house building with.
The figures to the right have been agreed by Hampshire Highways as correct and appropriate. As can be seen, at peak times, there will be 1 extra car on the roads every two minutes going North. Take into account that it is the peak time period that children will be going to primary school and that the primary school will take traffic away from the centre of Grayshott.
It has been suggested that our figures where incorrect and that the locations we took out of the Trics Database were inappropriate for comparison. To allay fears we have rerun the figures through Trics again but this time selected only comparable sites within Surrey (as oppossed to a spread around the country) and found exactly the same outcome.
Waggoners Estate (neighbouring)
We have also done our own study on the neighbouring Waggoners Way and Halters End development. We studied traffic over three mornings between the hours of 8am-9am and found that the traffic coming out of a 130 dwelling neighbouring development is less than the predictions for the Vale.
These figures do not take into account school children trips as these studies were done in the school holidays. However, we estimate that there is a maximum of 20 families with children.
However, it shows that an adjoining estate with 50% more dwellings and many people who are still in work, does not add this enormous amount of additional traffic you would expect from 130 houses.