Existing Population & Businesses
Before we look at the different areas of impact It would be appropriate to understand Grayshott's existing infrastructure as it stands now. Grayshott has been deemed a 'small local service centre' akin to three other locations in East Hampshire, Rowlands Castle, Four Marks and Clanfield (click here to see map)
As can be seen Grayshott has a good mix of age groups although the majority age group is over 60 years of age. There are 1052 dwellings in 914 acres of land. There were 24 unemployed people (out of 2,413) in the area and the locations affordable housing list stands at 32. The average amount of people living in a house is 2.2 and 83% of the population feel that they are in good health.
Grayshott ward is one of the most expensive places to live in East Hampshire being approximately 28% more than the average. Rental prices average £1100 for a 3 bedroom detached house, making it extremely difficult for young people, many who were born in the village to either purchase or rent.
There are approximately 130 businesses in Grayshott with 41 of them being high street premises.
Due to this being a preliminary study, undertaken before the housing has been built, we have to make assumptions based upon the Grayshott 2011 census data and other similar developments across the county.
Applegarth Vale will provide 80 dwellings in a mix of 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 bedroom houses.
This is split into two types of dwelling:
Affordable Housing-34 units (30% help to buy/ 70% rented)
Private dwellings- 46 units
This is then split further into the following types of houses:
Affordable Housing- 1 bed=6, 2 bed=20, 3 bed=7, 4 bed= 1, 5 bed=0
Private Housing- 1 bed=0, 2 bed=10, 3 bed= 17, 4 bed= 15 5 bed=0
We have estimated a capacity of 185 new residents based upon bedroom capacity and the councils formula for new housing.
Broken down into age groups (taking Grayshott's 2011 census data)
0-4 9 children
5-9 10 children (G'shott Primary school = 21 children approx)
10-14 7 children
15-19 5 teenagers
20-39 32 adults
40-59 55 adults
60+ 62 adults
There is no definitive way of showing exactly who is going to live in the Vale but we feel confident that living next to a soft play leisure facility we will attract a younger demographic of family. This will go some way to offsetting Grayshott's current aging population and provide our shops and businesses with added stimulus to move forward.
Impact on local Services
There are two doctors surgeries that could cover new residents from the Vale. Both Grayshott Surgery and Badgers Wood surgery in Headley are currently accepting patients. Grayshott Surgery has gone on record to state that if required it would be able to accomodate all residents of the Vale.
It perhaps needs to be considered that doctors surgeries are most affected by new retirement homes and elderly people coming into the area. Families and middle aged people are far less likely to visit the doctors and may only do so once every year at most.
Grayshott Surgery has been plagued with the problem of the roadway for many years. After much deliberation, a confirmed way forward has been found which will cost £50,000 to tarmacaden the road from Headley Road to the entrance. The Vale could be resolved this decades long problem.
Grayshott Primary School
Grayshott Primary School accepts children from the ages of 4-11.
It has currently been deemed as full by the Education Authority at 210 pupils. Therefore the Education authority have provided a figure of £374,218 to accomodate for these new pupils.
As has been deduced previously, the approximate number of children will be 20 and spread between all years. This equates to just under three children per year.
Having spoken to Grayshott Primary School it is evident that a fair number of the children attending the primary school are not actually from Grayshott but from surrounding villages. When choosing which are their preferential school, parents have put their first choice location as Grayshott when choosing.
The reality is therefore that children who live in the Vale, which is in Grayshott, will be prioritised over children living outside of the village going to other regional schools (in their own area)
Therefore there could be no net increase in children to the school just a relocation of non Grayshott children